Trump’s Peace Claims Under Scrutiny Ahead of 2025 Nobel Prize Announcement

President Donald Trump has repeatedly asserted credit for ending six or seven wars during his recent tenure, even suggesting he merits the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize. These claims, amplified in recent weeks and an August 19 interview, are now facing detailed scrutiny as the Nobel Committee prepares to announce its laureate next month.

A White House official provided a list of seven conflicts Trump cites as resolved: Israel and Iran, Rwanda and Democratic Republic of the Congo, Armenia and Azerbaijan, Thailand and Cambodia, India and Pakistan, Egypt and Ethiopia, and Serbia and Kosovo. The official highlighted “more progress towards peace than ever before” under Trump’s leadership.

However, foreign policy experts largely dispute the notion that these conflicts are definitively ‘settled wars,’ despite some U.S.-brokered ceasefires. Many of these disputes were not full-scale wars, and several remain unresolved or have seen continued violence, raising questions about the extent and decisiveness of U.S. involvement.

Israel and Iran: A 12-day conflict in June, sparked by Israeli attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities, led to a U.S. and Qatari-brokered ceasefire. While Brookings’ Michael O’Hanlon credits Trump for temporary cessation, experts like Larry Haas of the American Foreign Policy Council emphasize ongoing tensions and Iran’s regrouping, with the Pentagon estimating U.S. strikes only delayed Iran’s nuclear program by a year or two.

Rwanda and Democratic Republic of the Congo: A peace deal was announced in June following Washington talks mediated by Trump and Qatar, aiming to end decades of conflict over mineral reserves. Yet, violence has persisted, with Human Rights Watch reporting over 140 civilian deaths in eastern Congo in July, leading O’Hanlon to call it a “premature declaration of success.”

Armenia and Azerbaijan: Trump helped negotiate an August agreement to normalize relations and reopen transportation routes. Leaders from both nations credited Trump and nominated him for the Nobel Prize. However, the deal requires ratification, with Azerbaijan demanding Armenia remove territorial claims from its constitution – a significant sticking point.

Thailand and Cambodia: A late July ceasefire followed an outbreak of fighting, with Trump claiming he used trade threats to bring both sides to the table. Experts acknowledge economic pressure as a factor, but border disputes, including accusations of new landmines, continue.

India and Pakistan: A May ceasefire ended recent cross-border strikes over Kashmir. While Pakistan credited Trump’s administration and nominated him for the Nobel, India attributed the deal to its own pressure. Josh Kurlantzick of the Council on Foreign Relations views it as far from settled, noting potential complications from U.S. tariffs on India.

Egypt and Ethiopia: Trump claims to have brokered peace regarding Ethiopia’s hydroelectric dam on the Nile. Despite his June ‘Truth Social’ post proclaiming “peace, at least for now,” no deals have been announced. Ethiopia plans to open its dam this September over Egypt’s objections, and experts like O’Hanlon do not consider this a ‘war.’

Serbia and Kosovo: A 2020 deal mediated by Trump aimed to normalize economic ties, but progress stalled. Talks continue with European leaders, but Serbia still does not recognize Kosovo’s 2008 independence, indicating no breakthrough has emerged, as noted by Haas.

With the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize announcement imminent, the debate over the effectiveness and lasting impact of President Trump’s diplomatic efforts continues to intensify.

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