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Tag: Lunar Impact Probability

JWST Characterizes Potentially Hazardous Asteroid 2024 YR4: Lunar Impact Remains a Low Probability

JWST Characterizes Potentially Hazardous Asteroid 2024 YR4: Lunar Impact Remains a Low Probability

JWST Characterizes Potentially Hazardous Asteroid 2024 YR4: Lunar Impact Remains a Low Probability The James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) conducted its first observation of near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4, refining its size estimate to 174-220 feet (53-67 meters) in diameter. Initial ground-based observations underestimated its size. JWST’s infrared capabilities provided a more accurate size and composition assessment than visible-light observations. The data suggests a rockier composition than previously thought. The observation confirms that 2024 YR4 poses no threat of impacting Earth…

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Asteroid 2024 YR4: A Revised Assessment of Lunar Impact Probability

Asteroid 2024 YR4: A Revised Assessment of Lunar Impact Probability

Asteroid 2024 YR4: A Revised Assessment of Lunar Impact Probability Recent observations by NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope have led to a reassessment of the potential impact risk posed by asteroid 2024 YR4. While initial concerns focused on a potential Earth collision, the probability of this event has been significantly reduced. However, the likelihood of an impact with the Moon has increased. Initially classified as a “city killer” due to its estimated size of 174-220 feet (approximately the size of…

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Asteroid 2024 YR4: An Updated Assessment of Lunar Impact Probability

Asteroid 2024 YR4: An Updated Assessment of Lunar Impact Probability

Asteroid 2024 YR4: An Updated Assessment of Lunar Impact Probability Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially identified as a potential threat to Earth, has shifted the focus of scientific attention to the Moon. While the risk of a terrestrial impact has been effectively ruled out by NASA, recent observations suggest a heightened probability of a lunar collision in 2032. Early estimations placed the odds of an Earth impact at 3.1%, prompting considerable concern given the asteroid’s size – estimated to be between…

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