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Asteroid 2024 YR4: Updated Probability of Lunar Impact in 2032

Asteroid 2024 YR4: Updated Probability of Lunar Impact in 2032

Asteroid 2024 YR4: Updated Probability of Lunar Impact in 2032 Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially identified as a potential threat to Earth, has shifted its focus, so to speak. While the risk of a terrestrial impact has been effectively eliminated, recent data suggests a notable probability of a lunar collision in December 2032. Early assessments placed the odds of an Earth impact at 3.1%, the highest ever recorded for an asteroid of its size (approximately 174 to 220 feet in length)….

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Asteroid 2024 YR4: A Revised Assessment of Lunar Impact Probability

Asteroid 2024 YR4: A Revised Assessment of Lunar Impact Probability

Asteroid 2024 YR4: A Revised Assessment of Lunar Impact Probability Recent observations by NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope have led to a reassessment of the potential impact risk posed by asteroid 2024 YR4. While initial concerns focused on a potential Earth collision, the probability of this event has been significantly reduced. However, the likelihood of an impact with the Moon has increased. Initially classified as a “city killer” due to its estimated size of 174-220 feet (approximately the size of…

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Asteroid 2024 YR4: An Updated Assessment of Lunar Impact Probability

Asteroid 2024 YR4: An Updated Assessment of Lunar Impact Probability

Asteroid 2024 YR4: An Updated Assessment of Lunar Impact Probability Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially identified as a potential threat to Earth, has shifted the focus of scientific attention to the Moon. While the risk of a terrestrial impact has been effectively ruled out by NASA, recent observations suggest a heightened probability of a lunar collision in 2032. Early estimations placed the odds of an Earth impact at 3.1%, prompting considerable concern given the asteroid’s size – estimated to be between…

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