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Tag: Economic Outlook

Housing Market Slump Fuels Recession Fears Ahead of Key August Data

Housing Market Slump Fuels Recession Fears Ahead of Key August Data

Housing Market Slump Fuels Recession Fears Ahead of Key August Data The U.S. housing market is flashing critical warning signs for a potential recession, according to Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi. In recent social media posts, Zandi highlighted that Moody’s leading economic indicator, powered by machine learning, now places the probability of a recession within the next 12 months at 48%. While just under 50%, Zandi noted that such a high probability has historically preceded an economic downturn. A…

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Nasdaq Hits Record High, S&P 500 Secures Winning Week as Markets Anticipate Fed Rate Cut

Nasdaq Hits Record High, S&P 500 Secures Winning Week as Markets Anticipate Fed Rate Cut

Nasdaq Hits Record High, S&P 500 Secures Winning Week as Markets Anticipate Fed Rate Cut The Nasdaq Composite concluded a perfect week of closing highs on Friday, September 12, 2025, as investor sentiment solidified around expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next week. Signs of a weakening jobs market and contained inflation have fueled the belief that the Fed will act to lower its benchmark rate. The tech-heavy Nasdaq surged 0.44% to settle at a new record of…

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Markets Waver as Investors Await Key Inflation Data

Markets Waver as Investors Await Key Inflation Data

Markets Waver as Investors Await Key Inflation Data Stock futures showed little movement early Monday as Wall Street prepared for crucial inflation data releases this week. This follows a period of investor caution, with markets experiencing a slight pullback on Friday as profit-taking occurred after the S&P 500 reached a new record high and Nvidia reported strong earnings. Last week’s inflation figures indicated that rising prices remain a significant concern heading into the new month. While the S&P 500, Nasdaq…

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S&P 500 Dips as Weak August Jobs Report Fuels Rate Cut Speculation Amid Economic Worries

S&P 500 Dips as Weak August Jobs Report Fuels Rate Cut Speculation Amid Economic Worries

S&P 500 Dips as Weak August Jobs Report Fuels Rate Cut Speculation Amid Economic Worries Wall Street saw a fragile rally dissolve on Friday, September 5, 2025, as the S&P 500 gave up earlier gains, closing lower amidst growing economic concerns triggered by a weaker-than-expected August jobs report. All three major indexes – the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow – had touched fresh record intraday highs before fears of a slowing economy took hold. The U.S. economy added a mere…

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Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech Today: Fed Grapples with Rate Cut Pressure, Economic Crossroads

Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech Today: Fed Grapples with Rate Cut Pressure, Economic Crossroads

Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech Today: Fed Grapples with Rate Cut Pressure, Economic Crossroads Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is set to deliver a highly anticipated speech today at the annual Jackson Hole symposium in Wyoming, as the central bank faces mounting pressure to consider its first interest rate cut of 2025. The address comes at a critical juncture, with policymakers navigating a complex economic landscape marked by slowing hiring, persistent inflation concerns, and intense political scrutiny. Powell’s remarks will be…

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Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech: Rate Cut Hopes Fade as Economic Data Shifts

Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech: Rate Cut Hopes Fade as Economic Data Shifts

Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech: Rate Cut Hopes Fade as Economic Data Shifts Markets are bracing for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s highly anticipated speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium later this week, with expectations for a clear signal on interest rate cuts now significantly dampened. Despite earlier market certainty, recent economic data is challenging the narrative of an imminent September rate reduction. Just a week ago, futures markets priced in over a 95% chance of a September rate cut. However,…

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Consumer Caution Hits Fast-Casual Chains: Q2 Earnings Reveal Widespread Slowdown

Consumer Caution Hits Fast-Casual Chains: Q2 Earnings Reveal Widespread Slowdown

Consumer Caution Hits Fast-Casual Chains: Q2 Earnings Reveal Widespread Slowdown Major fast-casual restaurant chains, including Cava, Chipotle, and Sweetgreen, are experiencing a significant slowdown in sales and foot traffic, as cautious consumers grapple with economic uncertainty. This shift marks a stark contrast to the double-digit growth seen just a year ago, leading to substantial stock declines for many industry leaders. Latest financial reports for the second quarter of 2025 show Cava’s same-store sales growth plummeted to 2.1% from a projected…

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US Stock Futures Edge Higher as Markets Brace for Crucial Inflation Data This Week

US Stock Futures Edge Higher as Markets Brace for Crucial Inflation Data This Week

US Stock Futures Edge Higher as Markets Brace for Crucial Inflation Data This Week U.S. stock futures showed modest gains early Monday, with major indices once again nearing all-time highs as investors anticipate a pivotal week of inflation reports. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures climbed 0.16%, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also saw increases of 0.11% and 0.09% respectively. These movements follow a strong close last week, with the Nasdaq Composite hitting new closing highs and the S&P…

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Housing Market Nears Crisis Point as Economist Issues “Red Flare” Warning

Housing Market Nears Crisis Point as Economist Issues “Red Flare” Warning

Housing Market Nears Crisis Point as Economist Issues “Red Flare” Warning The U.S. housing market is rapidly deteriorating, prompting Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi to issue a stark “red flare” warning, indicating a significant drag on overall economic growth. Just weeks after his initial “yellow flare,” Zandi now believes the outlook has worsened considerably. In recent analyses, Zandi emphasized that a substantial decline in mortgage rates from their current near-7% levels is crucial to prevent a slump in home…

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China’s Economy Outperforms Expectations in Q2 Amidst Growing Headwinds

China’s Economy Outperforms Expectations in Q2 Amidst Growing Headwinds

China’s Economy Outperforms Expectations in Q2 Amidst Growing Headwinds Beijing today revealed that China’s economy expanded by 5.2% in the second quarter of 2025, exceeding analyst forecasts despite a backdrop of increasing domestic and global challenges. Data released this Tuesday by the National Bureau of Statistics indicated the growth for the April-June period, following a 5.4% increase in the first quarter. This latest figure surpasses the 5.1% median forecast from economists surveyed by Bloomberg. While robust exports provided a critical…

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Jamie Dimon Warns Europe: ‘You’re Losing’

Jamie Dimon Warns Europe: ‘You’re Losing’

Jamie Dimon Warns Europe: ‘You’re Losing’ JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon recently delivered a stark assessment of Europe’s economic standing, asserting the continent is ‘losing’ ground. Dimon’s remarks underscore broader concerns about Europe’s competitiveness and economic trajectory. His comments, made in the context of discussions around global economic shifts and policy impacts, highlight a persistent theme in his public statements regarding geopolitical and financial stability. Dimon has been a vocal observer of international markets, often sharing blunt perspectives on economic…

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US Stock Futures Edge Down After Trump Announces New Tariffs; S&P 500, Nasdaq Hold Record Highs

US Stock Futures Edge Down After Trump Announces New Tariffs; S&P 500, Nasdaq Hold Record Highs

US Stock Futures Edge Down After Trump Announces New Tariffs; S&P 500, Nasdaq Hold Record Highs U.S. equity futures experienced a slight decline this morning following President Donald Trump’s announcement of new tariffs, including a 35% levy on Canadian imports set to begin August 1. This comes despite major indices, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, closing at new record highs on Thursday. Futures tied to the S&P 500 slipped 0.48%, while Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.57%, and Dow Jones…

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Economic Optimism Crumbles: Tariff Uncertainty Shakes Business Confidence

Economic Optimism Crumbles: Tariff Uncertainty Shakes Business Confidence

Economic Optimism Crumbles: Tariff Uncertainty Shakes Business Confidence A chilling wave of pessimism has swept through the business world. The latest Economic Outlook Survey, released by the AICPA and CIMA, reveals a dramatic decline in economic optimism, leaving businesses bracing for impact. The survey, polling 328 key decision-makers – CEOs, CFOs, and controllers – paints a stark picture. Optimism about the domestic economy plummeted from a robust 67% in Q4 2024 to a mere 27% in the current quarter. Similarly,…

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